X-11 Census Method II Seasonal Adjustment - Specific Description of all Result Tables Computed by the X-11 Method
In each part A through G of the analysis (see Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method), different result tables are computed. Customarily, these tables are numbered, and also identified by a letter to indicate the respective part of the analysis. For example, table B 11 shows the initial seasonally adjusted series; C 11 is the refined seasonally adjusted series, and D 11 is the final seasonally adjusted series. Shown below is a list of all available tables. Those tables identified by an asterisk (*) are not available (applicable) when analyzing quarterly series. (Also, for quarterly adjustment, some of the computations outlined below are slightly different; for example instead of a 12-term [monthly] moving average, a 4-term [quarterly] moving average is applied to compute the seasonal factors; the initial trend-cycle estimate is computed via a centered 4-term moving average, the final trend-cycle estimate in each part is computed by a 5-term Henderson average.)
Following the convention of the Census Bureau version of the X-11 method, the STATISTICA implementation offers three levels of printout detail: Standard (17 to 27 tables), Long (27 to 39 tables), and Full (44 to 59 tables). An option to only produce selected tables is also provided (see the descriptions of the X-11 Monthly Seasonal Adjustment (Census Method II) and X-11 Quarterly Seasonal Adjustment (Census Method II) dialogs). In the description of each table below, the letters S, L, and F are used next to each title to indicate, which tables will be displayed and/or printed at the respective setting of the output option. (For the charts, two levels of detail are available: Standard and All.)
Click on the table name below to obtain more information about that table.
*A 1. Original series (S) | B 6. Seasonally adjusted series (F) |
*A 2. Prior monthly adjustment factors (S) | B 7. Trend-cycle (L) |
*A 3. Original series adjusted by prior monthly adjustment factors (S) | B 8. Unmodified S-I differences (ratios) (F) |
*A 4. Prior trading-day adjustment factors (S) | B 9. Replacement values for extreme S-I differences (ratios) (F) |
B 1. Prior adjusted series or original series (S) | B 10. Seasonal factors (L) |
B 2. Trend-cycle (L) | B 11. Seasonally adjusted series (F) |
B 3. Unmodified S-I differences or ratios (F) | B 12. (not used) |
B 4. Replacement values for extreme S-I differences (ratios) (F) | B 13. Irregular series (L) |
B 5. Seasonal factors (F) |
Tables B 14 through B 16, B18, and B19: Adjustment for trading-day variation
These tables are only available when analyzing monthly series. Different months contain different numbers of days of the week (i.e., Mondays, Tuesdays, etc.). In some series, the variation in the different numbers of trading-days may contribute significantly to monthly fluctuations (e.g., the monthly revenues of an amusement park will be greatly influenced by the number of Saturdays/Sundays in each month). You can specify initial weights for each trading-day (see A 4), and/or these weights can be estimated from the data (you can also choose to apply those weights conditionally, i.e., only if they explain a significant proportion of variance; see the description of the X-11 Monthly Seasonal Adjustment).
*B 14. Extreme Irregular Values Excluded from Trading-day Regression (L) | C 5. Seasonal factors (F) |
*B 15. Preliminary trading-day regression (L) | C 6. Seasonally adjusted series (F) |
*B 16. Trading-day adjustment factors derived from regression coefficients (F) | C 7. Trend-cycle (L) |
B 17. Preliminary weights for irregular component (L) | C 8. (not used) |
*B 18. Trading-day factors derived from combined daily weights (F) | C 9. Modified S-I differences (ratios) (F) |
*B 19. Original series adjusted for trading-day and prior variation (F) | C 10. Seasonal factors (L) |
C 1. Original series modified by preliminary weights and adjusted for trading-day and prior variation (L) | C 11. Seasonally adjusted series (F) |
C 2. Trend-cycle (F) | C 12. (not used) |
C 3. (not used) | C 13. Irregular series (S) |
C 4. Modified S-I differences (ratios) (F) |
Tables C 14 through C 16, C 18, and C 19: Adjustment for trading-day variation
These tables are only available when analyzing monthly series, and when adjustment for trading-day variation is requested. In that case, the trading-day adjustment factors are computed from the refined adjusted series, analogous to the adjustment performed in part B (B 14 through B 16, B 18 and B 19).
*C 14. Extreme irregular values excluded from trading-day regression (S) | D 11. Final seasonally adjusted series (S) |
*C 15. Final trading-day regression (S) | D 12. Final trend-cycle (S) |
*C 16. Final trading-day adjustment factors derived from regression coefficients (S) | D 13. Final irregular (S) |
C 17. Final weights for irregular component (S) | E 1. Modified original series (S) |
*C 18. Final trading-day factors derived from combined daily weights (S) | E 2. Modified seasonally adjusted series (S) |
*C 19. Original series adjusted for trading-day and prior variation (S) | E 3. Modified irregular series (S) |
D 1. Original series modified by final weights and adjusted for trading-day and prior variation (L) | E 4. Differences (ratios) of annual totals (S) |
D 2. Trend-cycle (F) | E 5. Differences (percent changes) in original series (S) |
D 3. (not used) | E 6. Differences (percent changes) in final seasonally adjusted series (S) |
D 4. Modified S-I differences (ratios) (F) | F 1. MCD (QCD) moving average (S) |
D 5. Seasonal factors (F) | F 2. Summary measures (S) |
D 6. Seasonally adjusted series. (F) | G 1. Chart (S) |
D 7. Trend-cycle (L) | G 2. Chart (S) |
D 8. Final unmodified S-I differences (ratios) (S) | G 3. Chart (A) |
D 9. Final replacement values for extreme S-I differences (ratios) (S) | G 4. Chart (A) |
D 10. Final seasonal factors (S) |